Predictions of new record highs for S&P 500 by Tom Lee of Fundstrat, outlined through three significant catalysts, as indicated by the stock market's focus on a particular asset.
Bitcoin's Price Action Predicted to Lead S&P 500 Growth
In a recent analysis, investor Tom Lee has suggested that the price action of Bitcoin could serve as a leading indicator for the S&P 500. Lee's prediction is based on historical observations where Bitcoin's peaks and bottoms have typically happened about a month before similar moves in the S&P 500.
Lee forecasts a corresponding breakout in the S&P 500 before the end of the year, targeting an S&P level between 6,500 and 7,000 by the end of 2025. Looking further ahead, he projects the S&P 500 will grow to 15,000 by 2030, driven by corporate earnings growth and expansion in artificial intelligence, while Bitcoin could reach a fresh all-time high around $250,000 if favorable macroeconomic conditions persist.
Bitcoin's current price consolidation near $116,000, with bullish technical patterns reminiscent of prior explosive rallies, reinforces Lee's $250,000 Bitcoin target for 2025. The prediction that Bitcoin leads the S&P is based on observed timing patterns in 2025 where Bitcoin’s moves preceded S&P peaks and troughs by about a month.
Lee links Bitcoin and the S&P 500’s growth trajectories to different drivers: S&P growth from fundamentals and AI, Bitcoin’s growth from institutional demand and macro trends.
Meanwhile, in the world of cryptocurrency, MultiBank Group reported a record $209M revenue in H1 2025. The BYDFi Card officially launched for seamless Web 3.0 asset-real world spending, and Solid launched on Fuse Network, offering decentralized banking for normies.
However, cybercrime continues to be a concern, with 200,000 potential victims identified due to malware disguised as legitimate apps. A 63-year-old woman was arrested for stealing bank information, printing fake IDs, and draining $26,000 from accounts.
In other news, Caldera partnered with EigenCloud to integrate EigenDA Version Two, and Plume and Mercado Bitcoin aim to tokenize $500 million real-world assets.
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As of Friday's close, the S&P 500 is trading at 6,389. Lee also predicts the S&P 500 will reach at least 7,000 by the end of the year, and the man accused of kidnapping and torturing a victim for BTC is released on bond.
[1] Source: Tom Lee's analysis [2] Source: Bitcoin's current price consolidation and technical patterns [3] Source: Lee's $250,000 Bitcoin target for 2025 [4] Source: MultiBank Group's H1 2025 revenue report [5] Source: Observed timing patterns in 2025 where Bitcoin’s moves preceded S&P peaks and troughs by about a month.
[1] Tom Lee predicts that the price action of Bitcoin could lead to growth in the S&P 500, with a corresponding breakout in the S&P 500 before the end of the year, targeting an S&P level between 6,500 and 7,000 by the end of 2025.
[2] Lee's forecast is backed by historical observations and Bitcoin's current price consolidation near $116,000, which displays bullish technical patterns reminiscent of prior explosive rallies, reinforcing his $250,000 Bitcoin target for 2025.
[3] Meanwhile, Lee links Bitcoin’s growth to institutional demand and macro trends, while the growth of the S&P 500 is driven by fundamentals and expansion in artificial intelligence.
[4] In the world of cryptocurrency, significant developments include MultiBank Group's record $209M revenue in H1 2025 and the launch of the BYDFi Card for seamless Web 3.0 asset-real world spending.
[5] However, the rise of cryptocurrency also brings challenges, with cybercrime a growing concern as 200,000 potential victims have been identified due to malware disguised as legitimate apps.
