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Expiration of Approximately $3 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Today, Majority of Market Sentiment Leans Towards Optimism

Imminent Expiration of Over $3 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options May Trigger Market Instability; Keep a Closely Watch on Price Fluctuations.

Expiration of Approximately $3 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Today, Majority of Market Sentiment Leans Towards Optimism

Yo, crypto heads! Three billions' worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum options are about to go poof today!

Options nearing their expiration date tend to spice things up in the crypto market, so keep a close eye on the action around 8:00 UTC and maybe tweak your trading strategies accordingly.

Watch Out for $2.95 Billion Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Disappearing

Deribit reveals we've got 26,949 Bitcoin contracts about to vanish, representing a value of around $2.6 billion. The max pain point is set at an eye-watering $91,000; if Bitcoin breaches that level, most of these contracts will be worth zilch.

The put-to-call ratio for Bitcoin is a pretty balanced 1.01, hinting at a more bearish sentiment since investors are heavier on sells (Put) than buys (Call). Ethereum, on the other hand, shows a generally bullish outlook with its put-to-call ratio at 0.92. A whopping 184,296 Ethereum contracts are going walkabout today, worth approximately $340.7 million and max pain point at $1,800.

Ether's been inching up by 2.27% since the last Friday session, currently trading at a cool $1,848.

Analysts at Greeks.live predict a rather optimistic vibe in the market. They also point towards a growing expectation for Bitcoin to surge past the $100,000 mark, all while keeping an eye on the low volatility and market structure.

Greeks.live mentioned they've got their eyes on the $96,000 Naked Point of Control, which has just been breeched, and the $94,400 rolling VWAP. There's some concern about the 'sell in May and go away' seasonality, though.

With the current low volatility, traders see a smorgasbord of opportunities for long positions. According to Greeks.live, market makers are selling calls with only 30% implied volatility (IV) to scoop up gamma, while keeping leverage at a minimum. This implies a possibility of an upside push with traders anticipating more rate cuts.

Gathering gamma means sellin' options to cash in on stable prices, managein' small moves, and rakin' in those premiums in a low-volatility market.

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Ether's not quite keeping up with Bitcoin, leading some traders to short it. Meanwhile, others are focused on Bitcoin's steady rise, and are eyeing July volatility positions for vega gains. This is simply a strategic difference in market focus.

Vega gains occur when option prices skyrocket due to increased market volatility, benefiting traders holding high-Vega sensitivity options.

In the meantime, Deribit analysts question what impact expiry will have on market stability, especially with heavy call stacking above $95,000 for Bitcoin.

As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $97,108, marking a 3% increase over the past 24 hours. This significant call stacking above $95,000 suggests optimism among traders for a bullish price surge.

Don't forget that options expirations can lead to a period of volatility (just like the $8.05 billion options expiry last week, which caused a brief market consolidation). However, the commotion usually subsides around 8:00 UTC once the contracts are settled on Deribit.

BeAwarned, Traderinos: The expiration of these options could stir up a big ol' ruckus in the crypto market, so best keep your eyes peeled and your game tight!

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  1. With nearly $2.6 billion worth of Bitcoin contracts expiring on Deribit, market participants should keep a watchful eye on trading strategies during the 8:00 UTC timeframe.
  2. The max pain point for Bitcoin contracts is set at a significant $91,000, meaning if Bitcoin breaches this level, most contracts will be worthless.
  3. The put-to-call ratio for Bitcoin is slightly imbalanced, favoring the sell side, indicating a more bearish sentiment among investors.
  4. In contrast, the Ethereum market shows a generally bullish outlook with a put-to-call ratio of 0.92, and approximately $340.7 million worth of Ethereum contracts expiring today.
  5. It's worth noting that analysts predict an optimistic vibe in the market, with a growing expectation for Bitcoin to surpass the $100,000 mark, yet they're also keeping an eye on the low volatility and market structure.
  6. As a result of the current low volatility, market makers are selling calls with minimal implied volatility (IV) to amass gamma, hinting at a potential upside push.
  7. Given the approaching Bitcoin and Ethereum options expiration, crypto enthusiasts should be prepared for increased market volatility and potential trading opportunities—so, HODL on tight and stay vigilant!
Imminent Expiration of Over $3 Billion Worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Today, Possibly Leading to Market Fluctuations. Keep a Closely Watchful Eye on Market Developments.
Imminent expiration of approximately $3 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options today, which could trigger market fluctuations and instability. Keep a close eye on market movements.

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