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The driving force behind RH's 80% increase in stock value?

The firm's shares are presently exchanging at approximately $396 each (Dec 18), marking an approximate 80% increase over the past six months.

Forecasting the UK's Commercial Landscape and Economic Trends in 2024
Forecasting the UK's Commercial Landscape and Economic Trends in 2024

The driving force behind RH's 80% increase in stock value?

Note: RH fiscal year concludes in the initial week of February.

*RH Shares, represent an elite home decor retailer, previously known as Restoration Hardware Holdings Inc. At the moment, the stock sells close to $396 per share (Dec 18), marking an approximately 80% growth in the previous six months. In contrast, the S&P index has witnessed a 7% increase over the same timeframe. So, what's the deal with RH shares? Furthermore, pet supplies retailer Chewy has demonstrated volatility. Refer to What's Behind Chewy's 47% Stock Surge?*

RH shares have managed to surpass expectations, increasing in value despite a third-quarter earnings miss. The retailer's remarks on the Q3 results and optimistic outlook sparked immense investor interest. For the third quarter ending November 2, the company reported earnings of $2.48 per share on revenue of $811.7 million, failing to meet consensus estimates of $2.65 per share and $812 million, respectively. RH's luxury home decor business has witnessed growth, driven by new collections, higher contract revenue, and increased hospitality revenue due to new Gallery openings. Additionally, RH's third-quarter revenue growth was 8% year-over-year (y-o-y), with the adjusted operating margin doubling to 15% and the adjusted EBITDA margin expanding to 21% (from 12% in the previous year) during Q3. The company's optimistic Q4 projection, with anticipated revenue growth of 18-20%, also contributed to the stock's uptrend. For the full year 2024, RH now expects total demand growth of 9.9% to 10.4% and revenue growth of 6.8% to 7.2% y-o-y. It also anticipates an adjusted operating margin of 11.5% to 11.7% and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 17.2% to 17.4%. However, if you're seeking potential gains with a smoother ride than a singular stock, consider the *Superior Quality portfolio*, which has outperformed the S&P, yielding returns exceeding 91% since inception.

RH generates income through its extensive and carefully curated catalogs, driving both brick-and-mortar and online sales. It offers merchandise selections across various categories, including furniture, lighting, textiles, bathware, decor, outdoor and garden, and baby, child, and teen furniture.

The demand for luxury home decor decreased following the economy's reopening after the pandemic's peak. RH experienced a significant surge in demand during FY 2020 but underwent significant changes in operations from FY 2021 through FY 2023, mainly due to significantly higher interest and mortgage rates, high inflation, and the slowdown in the housing market. Notably, RH shares have performed lower than the overall market in each of the last three years. Returns for the stock were 20% in 2021, -50% in 2022, and 9% in 2023.

Comparing RH's Performance to Trefis' Enhanced Investment Portfolio

In contrast, the Trefis Superior Quality Portfolio, with a collection of 30 stocks, is much less volatile. And it has outperformed the S&P 500 each year over the same period. Why is that? As a group, the Superior Quality Portfolio provided higher returns with lesser risk compared to the benchmark index; less of a roller-coaster ride, as demonstrated in Superior Quality Portfolio performance metrics.

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RH's third-quarter revenue, despite falling short of expectations, showed an 8% year-over-year growth, contributing to the company's overall financial growth. This revenue, denoted as 'rh revenue,' played a significant role in boosting RH's rh shares, despite the earnings miss.

Despite the market volatility seen in other sectors, RH revenue and rh shares have shown resilience, demonstrating potential for steady rh revenue growth in the future.

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