Gold poised for record-breaking market strength thanks to central bank purchases and a weak US dollar, analysts predict.
New Day, Gold Prices Soaring: Uncertainty Fueling Gold's Momentum, Says The Kobeissi Letter
Gold prices are on a roll, and it's uncertainty driving the momentum, according to analysts at The Kobeissi Letter.
In this beginning-of-year analysis, analysts at The Kobeissi Letter revealed that gold had been trailing the S&P 500 by nearly 10% since 2020. However, as uncertainties resurface, the picture is looking significantly rosiier for gold. Gold funds have witnessed astonishing net inflows of approximately $8 billion over three weeks—a record-breaking figure that suggests a surge in investors seeking a safe haven during market turmoil.
"But, why are gold prices soaring even as the market recovers? Uncertainty remains the answer."
Gold Refuge: A continuous flight to safety
Central bank activity remains historically strong. As foreign holdings of Treasuries as a percentage of US government debt have dipped to less than 23%—the lowest seen in over two decades—gold's position in global reserves has peaked at nearly 18% in the past 26 years.
As the US Dollar Index (DXY) plummeted to a 52-week low recently, the analysts noted that a weaker dollar makes gold significantly cheaper for foreign investors. This shift could explain why gold appears to be leading as a "tariff indicator."
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Sources:
- Kobeissi Letter 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
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- Despite a recovering market, gold prices are still soaring due to lingering uncertainties, with investors seeking a safe haven in gold funds.
- As central banks continue to impact the economy and gold's position in global reserves strengthens, altcoins and other cryptocurrencies may also see an increase in investments as investors look for opportunities outside traditional finance.
